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DTN Midday Grain Comments 06/03 10:51
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Lower at Midday Wednesday
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures are
2 to 3 cents lower; wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday Wednesday; soybean futures are
2 to 3 cents lower; wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents lower. The U.S. stock
market is weaker at midday with the S&P 33 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 22 points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is
firmer with crude up 1.65 and natural gas up .02. Livestock trade is mostly
lower with hogs leading. Precious metals are weaker with gold off 35.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 4 to 5 cents lower with early gains fading again as trade
gets more oversold and bullish news remains in short supply as another set of
fresh lows come in. Weekly ethanol production was 18,000 barrels per day higher
and stocks were 400,000 barrels lower. The daily export wire saw 136,000 metric
tons (mt) of corn sold to South Korea. Weekly export sales are expected to be
in the 700,000 to 1.0 million metric ton (mmt) range. Basis continues to hold
the recent range for now. Weather looks to keep the west wetter in the short
term with better rains moving toward the center of the belt with temps to
remain above normal. On the July chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.62 is
resistance with the fresh low at $4.35 as support, which we scored this morning.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 2 to 3 cents lower with early gains fading again with
spreads weaker as new crop remains flat with oil continuing to lead the product
complex. Meal is 2.50 to 3.50 lower and oil is 60 to 70 points higher. South
America will continue to move post-harvest bushels on to the world market as
harvest wraps up. Basis and crush margins look to hold the recent range into
June. Weekly export sales are expected to be in the 400,000 to 600,000 mt
range. Planting should wrap up except for double-crop soon enough with rains to
support emergence in the west. On the July contract, chart resistance is the
20-day moving average at $11.95 with support the lower Bollinger Band at $11.62.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 8 to 14 cents lower with early gains evaporating again as
we score fresh lows as harvest pressure continues to build and broad risk-off
trade picks up. Harvest should continue to expand with rains slowing early
progress in some areas, while spring wheat development should be aided by
rains. Matif wheat is lightly weaker. On the KC July chart, resistance is the
20-day moving average at $6.80 with the fresh low at $6.23 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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